Wednesday, January 06, 2016

Most States Have Cut School Funding, and Some Continue Cutting

This from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities:
Most states provide less support per student for elementary and secondary schools — in some cases, much less — than before the Great Recession, our survey of state budget documents over the last three months finds.  Worse, some states are still cutting eight years after the recession took hold.  Our country’s future depends crucially on the quality of its schools, yet rather than raising K-12 funding to support proven reforms such as hiring and retaining excellent teachers, reducing class sizes, and expanding access to high-quality early education, many states have headed in the opposite direction. These cuts weaken schools’ capacity to develop the intelligence and creativity of the next generation of workers and entrepreneurs.

Our survey, the most up-to-date data available on state and local funding for schools, indicates that, after adjusting for inflation:
  • At least 31 states provided less state funding per student in the 2014 school year (that is, the school year ending in 2014) than in the 2008 school year, before the recession took hold.  In at least 15 states, the cuts exceeded 10 percent.
  • In at least 18 states, local government funding per student fell over the same period.  In at least 27 states, local funding rose, but those increases rarely made up for cuts in state support.  Total local funding nationally ― for the states where comparable data exist ― declined between 2008 and 2014, adding to the damage from state funding cuts.
  • While data on total school funding in the current school year (2016) is not yet available, at least 25 states are still providing less “general” or “formula” funding ― the primary form of state funding for schools ― per student than in 2008.  In seven states, the cuts exceed 10 percent.
  • Most states raised “general” funding per student slightly this year, but 12 states imposed new cuts, even as the national economy continues to improve.  Some of these states, including Oklahoma, Arizona, and Wisconsin, already were among the deepest-cutting states since the recession hit. 
As common sense suggests, money matters for educational outcomes.  For instance, poor children who attend better-funded schools are more likely to complete high school and have higher earnings and lower poverty rates in adulthood.[1]

States cut funding for K-12 education — and a range of other areas, including higher education, health care, and human services — as a result of the 2007-09 recession, which sharply reduced state revenue.  Emergency fiscal aid from the federal government helped prevent even deeper cuts but ran out before the economy recovered, and states chose to address their budget shortfalls disproportionately through spending cuts rather than a more balanced mix of service cuts and revenue increases.  Some states have worsened their revenue shortfalls by cutting taxes.

Restoring school funding should be an urgent priority.  Steep state-level K-12 spending cuts have serious consequences.
  • Weakening a key funding source for school districts.  Some 46 percent of K-12 spending nationally comes from state funds (the share varies by state).[2]  Cuts at the state level force local school districts to scale back educational services, raise more local revenue to cover the gap, or both.  And because property values fell sharply after the recession hit, it’s been particularly difficult for local school districts to raise significant additional revenue through local property taxes without raising tax rates, a politically challenging task even in good times.
  • Slowing the economy’s recovery from the recession.  School districts began cutting teachers and other employees in mid-2008 when the first round of budget cuts took effect, federal employment data show.  By mid-2012, local school districts had cut 351,000 jobs.  Since then they’ve restored some of the jobs but still are down 297,000 jobs compared with 2008.[3]  These job losses reduced the purchasing power of workers’ families, weakening overall economic consumption and thus slowing the recovery.
  • Impeding reforms widely acknowledged to boost student achievement.  Many states and school districts have identified as a priority reforms that would prepare children better for the future, such as improving teacher quality, reducing class sizes, and increasing student learning time.  Deep funding cuts hamper their ability to implement many of these reforms.  For example, while the number of public K-12 teachers and other school workers has fallen by 297,000 since 2008, the number of students has risen by about 804,000.  At a time when producing workers with high-level technical and analytical skills is increasingly important to a country’s prosperity, large cuts in funding for basic education could cause lasting harm.
These trends are very concerning to the country’s future prospects.  The health of the nation’s economy and our quality of life will depend crucially on the creativity and intellectual capacity of our people.  If we neglect our schools, we diminish our future.

State Funding Fell Sharply, and Local Funding Didn’t Make Up the Difference

K-12 schools in every state rely heavily on state aid.  On average, some 46 percent of school revenues in the United States come from state funds.  Local governments provide another 45 percent; the rest comes from the federal government.  (See Figure 1.)

Figure 1
States Provide Nearly Half of School Funding
States typically distribute most of their funding through a formula that allocates money to school districts.  Each state uses its own formula.  Many states, for instance, target at least some funds to districts with greater student need (e.g., more students from low-income families) and less ability to raise funds from property taxes and other local revenues, although typically this targeting doesn’t fully equalize educational spending across wealthy and poor school districts.[4]

In addition to this “general” or “formula” funding, states also typically provide revenue for other, more specific purposes, such as bus transportation, contributions to school employee pension plans, and teacher training.  States vary in what they include in their general funding formula and what they fund outside the formula.

Because schools rely so heavily on state aid, cuts to state funding (especially formula funding) generally force local school districts to scale back educational services, raise more revenue to cover the gap, or both.

When the Great Recession hit, however, property values fell sharply, making it hard for school districts to raise local property taxes — schools’ primary local funding source — without raising rates, which is politically challenging even in good times.  Raising rates was particularly difficult in the midst of a severe recession with steep declines in housing values in many areas.

As a result, local funding for schools fell after the recession took hold, worsening the even steeper fall in state funding.  Local funding still hadn’t recovered in 2014, leaving total state and local funding for schools per student still well below pre-recession levels as of the 2014 school year — the latest year for which these data are available in most states.  This survey (with data from 45 states[5]) finds that, after adjusting for inflation:
  • In 31 states, total state funding per student was lower in the 2014 school year than in the 2008 school year, before the recession took hold.  (See Figure 2.)

Figure 2
Total State Funding Below 2008 Levels in Most States

  • In 15 states, the cuts in state funding per student exceeded 10 percent.
  • In 18 states, local funding per student fell over the same period.  In 27 states, local funding rose, but those increases rarely made up for cuts in state support.
  • In 30 states, total state and local funding combined fell between the 2008 and 2014 school years. (See Figure 9 in the appendix for state-by-state figures.)

Current-Year Data Show Decline in State General Formula Funding

While data on total state and local school funding aren’t yet available for the current (2016) school year in most states, in 46 states the necessary data are available to compare general formula funding ― the primary state funding source for schools ― this year with funding before the recession took hold.[6]

States made widespread and deep cuts to education formula funding when the recession hit, and at least half of the states still haven’t fully restored the cuts eight years later.  (See Figure 3.)  This survey finds that, after adjusting for inflation:
  • Twenty-five of the 46 states are providing less general aid per student this year than in 2008.
  • In seven of those 25 states, the cuts are 10 percent or more.
  • In three states — Oklahoma, Alabama, and Arizona — the cuts are 15 percent or more.

Figure 3
State General Funding Per Student Still Lower Than 2008 in 25 States

Another state that has imposed deep funding cuts — Kansas — eliminated its funding formula this year, making impossible direct comparisons to earlier years.  Formula funding in Kansas was down 14.6 percent per student between 2008 and 2014, after adjusting for inflation.
Most states raised per-pupil general formula funding in the last year (see Figure 4), but in most cases those increases weren’t enough to offset earlier cuts.

Figure 4
Twelve States Cut General Funding Per Student This Year

  • Thirty-five states raised general funding per student in 2016, after adjusting for inflation. 
  • In at least 14 of those 35 states, per-student funding was above pre-recession levels even before this year’s increase.  But among the other 21 states, only four raised funding enough in the last year to make up for cuts in earlier years.[7]  For example, Alabama’s $7 per-pupil increase this year was far from enough to offset the state’s $1,097 per-pupil cut over the previous seven years.  Michigan’s $45 per-pupil increase this year pales in comparison to the state’s $526 cut between 2008 and 2015.
  • At least 12 states cut per-student funding this year.  In nine of these states, the cuts came on top of previous cuts, leaving the state even further below pre-recession levels.
  • Five of the seven states with the deepest cuts in general per-student funding since 2008 imposed further cuts this year:  Oklahoma, Arizona, Wisconsin, Kentucky, and Texas.

Why Have States Cut Funding So Deeply?

States’ large cuts in K-12 funding reflect a combination of outside factors, such as weak revenues and rising costs, and state policy choices, such as a reliance on spending cuts to close budget shortfalls and enactment of recent tax cuts.
  • State revenues have been slow to recover.  The recession caused the national unemployment rate to double between 2007 and 2010 and the economy’s recovery since then has been slow, hurting wages for many workers and causing median income to fall by 6.5 percent ― or $3,700 ― between 2007 and 2014, adjusted for inflation.  Plus, housing values plummeted and remain below their pre-recession peak in major swaths of the country, leaving many homeowners more cautious about drawing on home equity to make large purchases.  As a result, states’ income and sales tax revenues ― their main sources of revenue to fund education and other services ― were hit hard.  State revenues have improved lately but not enough to keep pace with state needs; they are only about 5 percent above 2008 levels, after adjusting for inflation.
  • States relied heavily on spending cuts after the recession hit.  States disproportionately relied on spending cuts to close their large budget shortfalls after the recession hit, rather than a more balanced mix of spending cuts and revenue increases.  Between fiscal years 2008 and 2012, states closed 45 percent of their budget gaps through spending cuts and only 16 percent through taxes and fees.  (They closed the rest with federal aid, reserves, and various other measures).[8]
  • Federal aid to states has fallen.  States used emergency fiscal relief from the federal government (including both education aid and other forms of state fiscal relief) to cover a significant share of their shortfalls through the 2011 fiscal year.  After 2011, federal policymakers largely allowed this aid to expire, even though states faced large shortfalls in 2012 and beyond.  This is a key reason why state education funding dropped so sharply in 2012.
    Figure 5
    Major Federal Education Aid Programs Have Shrunk
    Adding to states’ struggles, federal policymakers have cut ongoing federal funding for states and localities, thereby worsening state fiscal conditions.  For example, federal spending for Title I — the major federal assistance program for high-poverty schools — is down 11 percent since 2010 after adjusting for inflation, and federal spending on education for disabled students is down 9 percent.[9]  (See Figure 5.)
  • Costs are rising.  Costs of state-funded services have risen since the recession due to inflation, demographic changes, and rising needs.  For example, there are about 804,000 more K-12 students and 3 million more public college and university students now than in 2008, the U.S. Department of Education estimates.[10]
  • Some states have cut taxes deeply.  Not only did many states avoid raising new revenue after the recession hit, but recently some have enacted large tax cuts, further reducing revenues.  Four of the five states with the biggest cuts in general school funding since 2008 ― Arizona, Idaho, Oklahoma, and Wisconsin ― have also cut income tax rates in recent years. (See Figure 6.)  Another state that cut taxes deeply ― Kansas ― also has imposed large reductions in general school funding, but the precise size of those cuts cannot be determined because the state eliminated its funding formula earlier this year.

Figure 6
Four of Five States With Deepest K-12 Cuts Also Cut Income Taxes

K-12 Cuts Have Serious Consequences

Local school districts typically struggle to make up for major state funding cuts on their own, so the cuts have led to job losses, deepening the recession and slowing the economy’s recovery.  They also impede important state education reform initiatives at a time when producing workers with high-level technical and analytical skills is increasingly important to the country’s prosperity.

A recent study on the impact of school financing reforms beginning in the 1970s highlighted the importance of adequate funding for children’s — especially low-income children’s — success in school and later in the workplace.  Examining data on more than 15,000 children born between 1955 and 1985, it found that poor children whose schools were expected to receive a 10-percent increase in per-pupil spending each year for all 12 years of public school due to these reforms were 10 percentage points more likely to complete high school than other poor children.  They also had 10 percent higher earnings as adults and were 6 percentage points less likely as adults to be poor. [11]

Local School Districts Hard Pressed to Replace Lost State Funding

Property values fell sharply after the recession hit, making it difficult for local school districts to raise significant additional revenue through the property tax to make up for cuts in state funding. Property values have improved since then but remain below pre-recession levels nationally, and most states’ property tax revenues don’t yet fully reflect the increase.  (There’s generally a significant time lag between when home prices rise and when property tax assessments register the increase.)[12]  Local school districts can seek to raise property tax rates, but those increases are usually politically difficult and sometimes legally restricted.

For these reasons, property tax revenue growth nationwide has been modest since the recession hit.  While revenue initially surged as property taxes caught up with the rapid growth in home prices associated with the pre-recession housing bubble, they fell sharply once home prices plummeted, and since then have risen only slowly.  The overall result: since the recession hit at the end of 2007, revenue growth nationally has averaged only about 1.5 percent above inflation annually ― far from enough to make up for declining state support and rising student enrollment.[13]

Beyond raising local revenues, school districts have few options for preserving investments in education.  Some localities could divert funds from other services to shore up school budgets, but this could impair other critical services, like police and fire protection.

Capital Spending to Build and Renovate Schools Also Down

States and localities use capital spending to build new schools, renovate and expand facilities, and equip schools with more modern technologies.  In most states capital spending fell sharply after the recession hit, as did the non-capital school funding discussed in this paper.
Elementary and high schools nationally cut capital spending by $28 billion or 37 percent between fiscal years 2008 and 2013 (the latest year available), after adjusting for inflation.  (See Figure 7.)
Thirty-eight states cut capital spending over this period, in many cases drastically.  Five states cut capital spending by more than half.  Nevada, the state with the sharpest reductions, cut capital spending by 81 percent.

Figure 7
Capital Spending for K-12 Schools Dropping

Cuts Undermine Education Reforms

Many states have undertaken education reforms with federal encouragement, such as supporting professional development to improve teacher quality, improving interventions for young children to heighten school readiness, and turning around the lowest-achieving schools.  Deep cuts in state K-12 spending can limit or stymie those reforms by limiting the funds generally available to improve schools and by terminating or undercutting specific reform initiatives.  Reforms endangered by funding cuts include:
  • Improving teacher quality.  Research suggests that teacher quality is the most important school-based determinant of student success.[14]  Recruiting, developing, and retaining high-quality teachers are therefore essential to improving student achievement.  School budget cuts make these tasks far more difficult.  Teacher salaries make up a large share of public education spending, so funding cuts inevitably restrict districts’ ability to expand teaching staffs and supplement wages.  In 38 states, the average teacher’s salary declined relative to inflation between the 2010 and 2013 school years (the latest year with comparable data for all states). 
  • Trimming class size.  Evidence suggests that smaller class sizes can boost achievement, especially in the early grades and for low-income students.[15]  Yet small class sizes are difficult to sustain when schools are cutting spending and enrollments are rising.  In Nevada, for example, the student-to-teacher ratio rose from 18.3 to 20.6 between the 2008 and 2014 school years.[16]  The United States as a whole has about 804,000 more K-12 students this school year than in 2008 but 297,000 fewer teachers and other school workers.[17]
  • Expanding learning time.  Many experts believe that more student learning time can improve achievement.[18]  Budget cuts make it more difficult to extend instructional opportunities because extending learning time generally adds costs.  Some states have even cut student learning time due to budget cuts.  When Arizona eliminated funding for full-day kindergarten, for example, some school districts responded by offering only a half-day program or by requiring parents to pay a fee for a full-day program, likely reducing the number of children who can attend.[19]
  • Providing high-quality early education.  A number of studies conclude that pre-kindergarten or pre-school programs can improve cognitive skills, especially for disadvantaged children,[20] but many states cut funding for those programs after the recession hit.  In the average state, preschool funding per enrolled child fell by 11 percent between 2008 and 2014, after adjusting for inflation.[21] 

Cuts Have Slowed the Economy and Can Inhibit Long-Term Growth

State K-12 cuts have slowed the economic recovery by reducing overall economic activity since the recession officially ended in mid-2009.  They forced school districts to lay off teachers and other employees, reduce pay for the remaining workers, and cancel contracts with suppliers and other businesses.  These steps remove consumer demand from the economy, which in turn discourages businesses from making new investments and hiring.
Figure 8
K-12 Education Jobs Have Fallen as Enrollment Has Grown
Federal employment data show that school districts began cutting teachers and other employees in mid-2008, when the first round of budget cuts began taking effect.  By 2012, local school districts had cut about 351,000 jobs.  They’ve since added back some of the jobs but still are down 297,000 jobs compared with 2008.[22]  (See Figure 8.)

In addition, education spending cuts have cost an unknown but likely significant number of private-sector jobs as school districts canceled or scaled back purchases and contracts (for instance, buying fewer textbooks).  These job losses shrink the purchasing power of workers’ families, which in turn affects local businesses and slows recovery.

In the long term, the budgetary savings from recent K-12 funding cuts may cost states much more in diminished economic growth.  To prosper, businesses require a well-educated workforce.  Deep education funding cuts weaken that future workforce by diminishing the quality of elementary and high schools.  At a time when the nation is trying to produce workers with the skills to master new technologies and adapt to the complexities of a global economy, large cuts in funding for basic education undermine a crucial building block for future prosperity.

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